WARNING: This is Version 1 of my old archive, so Photos will NOT work and many links will NOT work. But you can find articles by searching on the Titles. There is a lot of information in this archive. Use the SEARCH BAR at the top right. Prior to December 2012; I was a pro-Christian type of Conservative. I was unaware of the mass of Jewish lies in history, especially the lies regarding WW2 and Hitler. So in here you will find pro-Jewish and pro-Israel material. I was definitely WRONG about the Boeremag and Janusz Walus. They were for real.
Original Post Date: 2011-04-24 Time: 18:00:02 Posted By: News Poster
By Yemi Ajayi
This Tuesday’s governorship elections holding in 26 states of the federation are expected to be keenly contested as the latest survey undertaken for THISDAY by Ipsos, one of the world’s leading market research companies, has shown that the ruling Peoples Democratic Party may lose as many as nine states to rival opposition parties.
Election in five other states covered by the THISDAY/Ipsos poll have been deferred as a result of the Court of Appeal judgment.
The states are Adamawa, Cross River, Kogi, Bayelsa and Sokoto.
Elections are expected to be held in the states as follows: Adamawa – March 2012, Bayelsa – April 2012, Cross River – July 2012, Kogi – Feb/March 2012 and Sokoto – April 2012.
Of the five states covered by the poll, PDP may lose in Bayelsa, bringing the number of projected losses to nine.
Elections are, however, scheduled to hold in 24 states on Tuesday and on Thursday in two others – Bauchi and Kaduna. The Independent National Electoral Commission deferred the elections there due to the tense security situation in the states following the violent protests that greeted the results of the presidential election.
The latest survey taken from April 13 to 16, 2011 was conducted before the results of the presidential election, won by President Goodluck Jonathan of the PDP, were made public and the outbreak of violence which greeted his victory.
The poll, which was conducted in 13 states considered to be battleground states where the contest is expected to be fiercest, showed that the Congress for Progressive Change would likely make the most gains by winning in four states.
The Action Congress of Nigeria, on the other hand, is likely to win in three states all in the south-west.
The states in which the latest opinion poll was conducted are Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Delta, Imo, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Kwara, Niger, Oyo and Zamfara.
However, no fresh survey was conducted in 18 states for which the last opinion poll carried out by Ipsos was between March 20 and April 4, 2011.
The reason no new survey was conducted in these states is because it is unlikely that the projections from that survey ending April 4 would change before the election proper.
The states for which no new survey was conducted are: Abia, Akwa Ibom, Borno, Ebonyi, Enugu, Gombe, Jigawa, Lagos and Nasarawa.
Others are Ogun, Plateau, Rivers, Taraba, Cross River, Adamawa, Kogi, Sokoto and Yobe States.
Based on both surveys (March 20 – April 4 and April 13 – 16), the PDP is likely to retain 16 of the states; CPC may win in four states; ACN is forecast to win three states; All Nigeria Peoples Party in two states; All Progressives Grand Alliance may win one state; Labour Party may win one state; while four states are too close to call.
A breakdown of the opinion poll conducted between April 13 and 16 shows that Bauchi State governor, Alhaji Isa Yuguda of the PDP, has lost considerable ground to his main challenger, Alhaji Yusuf Maitama Tuggar of CPC.
Yuguda dropped 19 points from 52 percent in previous survey ending April 4 to 33 percent. His loss was Tuggar’s gain, who moved from 22 percent rating to 39 percent within the nine day period between both surveys.
In Benue State, while Governor Gabriel Suswam of the PDP has significantly narrowed the margin between himself and ACN standard bearer, Prof. Steve Ugbah, he is still trailing behind him in the latest poll.
Ugbah is leading with 48 percent to Suswam’s 44 percent, making Benue too close to call.
In Delta State, Dr. Emmanuel Uduaghan of the PDP enjoys a 14- point lead over his main rival, Chief Great Ogboru, of Democratic Peoples Party. Uduaghan’s THISDAY/Ipsos rating is 52 percent to Ogboru’s 38 percent. This is an improvement compared to the March 20 – April 4 survey, which showed him running neck-to-neck with Ogboru.
In Imo State, Chief Rochas Okorocha of APGA is tipped to beat the incumbent, Chief Ikedi Ohakim of the PDP. He is ahead in the survey with 64 percent as against 18 percent for Ohakim.
Respondents to the poll in Kaduna State prefer CPC’s Haruna Sa’eed Kajuru to the PDP candidate and incumbent governor, Patrick Yakowa. Kajuru has 50 percent to Yakowa’s 40 percent.
This shows a clear lead for the CPC candidate who had 43 percent in the previous survey as against 41 percent for the governor.
The PDP candidate in Kano State, Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso, maintains his lead with 41 percent to the 31 percent for his CPC’s main challenger, Mohammed Abacha, who was the party’s candidate when the survey was conducted. The Court of Appeal has however, affirmed Brig- Gen. Jafar Isa (rtd) as CPC candidate for Kano.
The candidate of the ruling ANPP in the state, Alhaji Salihu Muhammed Sagir, trailed behind with 26 percent.
In Katsina, the home state of CPC presidential candidate,Major-General Muhammadu Buhari[rtd], the ruling PDP, whose candidate is Ibrahim Shema, is projected to lose the race to Alhaji Lado Danmarke of the CPC. Danmarke polled 50 percent to 41 percent for Shema.
In Kebbi State, the incumbent governor, Alhaji Saidu Dakingari of the PDP has shot into a comfortable lead with 67 percent to 29 percent polled for his closest rival, Alhaji Abubakar Malam of the CPC.
Mr. Dele Belgore of the ACN, who was projected as the leading candidate in Kwara State between March 20 and April 4, has lost ground to his PDP rival, Alhaji Abdulfatah Ahmed.
The latest survey shows that he polled 37 percent, down from 41 percent, to come behind Ahmed who moved up from 34 percent to 51 percent.
The candidate of the Allied Congress Party of Nigeria, Senator Gbemisola Saraki, who is being sponsored by her father, Dr. Olusola Saraki, dropped from 12 percent to 6 percent.
In Niger State, Governor Mua’azu Babangida Aliyu of the PDP dropped five percentage points in the THISDAY/Ipsos poll to 55 percent.
This, however, still put him ahead of his closest rival, Alhaji Ibrahim Bako Shettima of the CPC who moved up from 24 percent to 32 percent.
The latest survey projected an improvement in chance of ACN candidate in Oyo State, Senator Abiola Ajimobi, over the incumbent governor, Chief Adebayo Alao-Akala of the PDP.
While Ajimobi moved from 28 percent rating in the previous survey to 41 percent in the recent one, Alao-Akala dropped 6 percentage points to 24 percent.
Another perceived popular candidate and former governor, Alhaji Rasheed Ladoja of the Accord Party maintains his 17 percent in both surveys.
The ANPP, going by the most recent survey, could be on its way to reclaiming Zamfara State as its candidate, Alhaji Abdulazeez Yari, is ahead of his rival with 56 percent. He is followed by Governor Mahmud Shinkafi who polled 28 percent.
In Abia State, Governor Theodore Orji maintains his lead over other candidates with 44 percent, followed by Chief Chris Akoma of Peoples Progressive Alliance (12 percent) and Reagan Ufomba of APGA (11 points).
Similarly, in Akwa Ibom, Governor Godswill Akpabio of the PDP retains his 54 percent lead over that of James Akpanudoedehe of the ACN who has 25 percent.
The PDP candidate in Borno State, Alhaji Mohammed Goni is still ahead at 61 percent as against 26 percent for Kashim Shettima of the ANPP and Mustapha Baba Shehuri of the CPC who polled 10 percent.
In Ebonyi, the governor, Martins Elechi’s margin of 46 percent lead to Senator Julius Ucha of the ANPP who has 41 percent, makes the state too close to call.
Governor Sullivan Chime of Enugu State still retains voters’ confidence with 72 percent, far ahead of other candidates.
PDP’s Ibrahim Dank-wambo is also in comfortable lead of the THISDAY/Ipsos poll with 68 percent. His closest rival is Senator Saidu Mohammed Kumo of the ANPP with 14 percent.
In Jigawa State, Governor Sule Lamido of the PDP’s polled 53 percent to 29 percent for his closest rival, Alhaji Muhammad Badaru of the ACN.
In Lagos State, Governor Babatunde Fashola is still the favourite with 82 per cent as against 10 percent for PDP’s Adegboyega Dosunmu.
For Nasarawa State, Governor Aliyu Akwe Doma of the PDP is trailing CPC’s Umaru Tanko Almakura who got 45 percent to Doma’s 39 percent.
In Ogun State, Senator Ibikunle Amosun of ACN is ahead with 55 percent as against 24 percent for Gen. Adetunji Olurin of the PDP and 4 percent for Isiaka Nasir of the Peoples Party of Nigeria.
Plateau, where Governor Jonah Jang of the PDP is slugging it out with his deputy and Labour Party governorship candidate, Mrs. Paullen Tallen, is too close to call. Jang polled 46 percent against Tallen who has 44 percent.
Governor Chibuike Amaechi is still favoured to win in River, having polled 62 percent compared to 21 percent for his main challenger, Abiye Sekibo of ACN.
In Sokoto State, Governor Aliyu Wammako at his 55 percent is ahead of other rivals, including CPC’s Abubakar Aliyu who is trailing behind with 25 percent.
Ditto in Taraba State where Governor Danbaba Suntai is leading at 55 percent polled compared to Senator Joel Ikenya of ACN who has 24 percent.
In Yobe, Governor Ibrahim Gaidam of ANPP leads by 61 percent as against Senator Usman Albishir of PDP who has 30 percent.
The methodology used for the poll of April 13 to 16 was done through face-to-face in-home interviews with a sample of 4,500 interviewees. It was a requirement of the survey that only registered voters could participate in the poll
The sample was representatively selected – a stratified, multi-stage probability sampling technique was employed for the study.
This technique applies random selection methods at every stage of sampling, all Nigerian adults (18(43)+) – males, females, urban and rural dwellers – were given a calculable change of being selected to partake in the polling.
Interviews were conducted in 13 states of the federation: Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Delta, Imo, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Kwara, Niger, Oyo & Zamfara. However, there will be no election taking place in Bayelsa till 2012.
Interviews were conducted in the language of choice of the respondents: English, Pidgin, Igbo, Yoruba or Hausa.
Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
All sample surveys are subject to statistical error, depending on sample size, interviewing methodology and response rate. The margin of error for this poll is (43)+/- 6.3%. This means that in 95 out of every 100 cases, the findings will fall within (43)+/- 6.3% range when looking at the state level results.
It was a requirement of the survey that only registered voters could participate in the poll.
Original Source: 
Original date published: 24 April 2011
Source: http://allafrica.com/stories/201104240001.html?viewall=1