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USA: Stock Markets – Analysing 2010, everything upbeat for 2011 – The Presidential Cycle – Gold stunned everyone… Profiting from a level head…

WARNING: This is Version 1 of my old archive, so Photos will NOT work and many links will NOT work. But you can find articles by searching on the Titles. There is a lot of information in this archive. Use the SEARCH BAR at the top right. Prior to December 2012; I was a pro-Christian type of Conservative. I was unaware of the mass of Jewish lies in history, especially the lies regarding WW2 and Hitler. So in here you will find pro-Jewish and pro-Israel material. I was definitely WRONG about the Boeremag and Janusz Walus. They were for real.

Original Post Date: 2011-01-01 Time: 08:00:01  Posted By: Jan

[Here is a pretty good summary of the stock markets for 2010. Here we see that there was growth in US stocks. This is the result of all that money they invented out of thin air in 2009.

The Americans are nuts when it comes to statistics. You will find that Americans, going back well over a century have always measured everything imaginable. It is one of their strongest points and it enables them to know what the hell is going on and to adapt to changes. Americans have a strong ability to change quickly. Again, it is a Free Market capitalist strength that goes far back into their history and is one of the secrets of their success.

They say that according to stats, almost every presidential cycle bar one had a good year financially in the 3rd year of a president’s term. So they are expecting 2011 to be excellent. Remember the prediction by a professor that in 2012, things will suck for Obama financially? We will see.

Indications are that at this time the reinflation of the bubble is gaining momentum. It got through the 11,000 level which I thought was a tough feat. The next truly hideously tough feat is 14,000 where the market crash began. The reflation of course is synonymous with the crash of the US Dollar which I can see clearly when comparing it to the South African Rand. The US Dollar has fallen a lot since they reinflated. An interesting point for me is when will the South African Rand fall? It is a good time to buy US Dollars. I still believe that the American economy is far more sound than the South African economy and given time the Americans might hobble out of their problems but our problems will be much worse. For now, we can buy US Dollars with ease, and it might not be a bad strategy to buy more US Dollars as the dollar continues its fall. One day, the Rand will have to fall for many reasons. But let’s forget about that for now.

It appears the reinflation got most markets up, but GOLD stunned everyone. The GLD gold fund rose 28% in 2010. For the period August to December, when I issued my last buy order for GLD, it rose 16.75% in that period. I have not calculated what profit one could have made by buying and selling on my instructions. I need to revisit that. But My Technical Indicator is working very well and I am happy with it.

Making money out of the Gulf Oil disaster was great. Jason Kelly’s advice reaped a stunning 50% return from April to December 2010. It was simply staggering, and was a great example of how not to fall for the panic when others are busy fear-mongering. It was a brilliant example of how to profit by keeping a level head.

There is money to be made and opportunity to be seized, if you can keep your wits about you and develop your own skills. Of that I have no doubt. I watch friends of mine repairing their own cars and doing simple things that save them tons of money. It proves to me once more the importance of developing your own, personal technical skills – whether they are fixing your car or house to being computer, electrical or electronic related. It all will benefit you and make or save you money. Learn, learn, learn.

In 2011, I will expand on the survivalist theme. You are going to get 2 kinds of people in this world. You will get the bone-heads who wait for Govt to deliver them a happy life on a plate. This won’t happen since Govt will steal or waste it long before then. Then you will find a type of person that has always existed in history, who makes his own plan. They are the real survivalists and they prosper in all kinds of weather.

I have heard that there were people in Europe who buried gold in their back yards before WWII. When the war was over and everything was destroyed they dug up their gold. wledge is money, knowledge is POWER. GET IT!!!]

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) – – Investors had trouble believing, but the strong double-digit gains from U.S. stock mutual-funds in 2010 could change that.

The U.S. stock market shook off economic and political concerns to finish the year fitter and healthier, and mutual fund shareholders are looking at a market that seems ready to build muscle.

Diversified U.S. stock funds rose nearly 19% on average in 2010, powered by a 12% fourth-quarter run, according to results as of Dec. 30 from investment researcher Morningstar Inc.

That showing topped a 15% gain for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX ) and a 14% advance for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU ), including reinvested dividends.

U.S. stock funds also handily beat their international counterparts, which gained nearly 14% for the year and 7.4% in the final quarter.

“It’s been a better year than most people thought,” said Russ Koesterich, chief investment strategist at exchange-traded fund provider iShares. “We avoided sliding into the abyss. While the economy is still weak, Corporate America is in pretty good shape.”

The U.S. market went through dizzying gyrations to post a second consecutive year of solid gains. At times it looked as if Wall Street had come up against an insurmountable wall, such as when the S&P 500 went into a harrowing 13% second-quarter slide.

But markets are volatile by nature, and so the real story of 2010 is that many investors missed the rally – – again. A net $81 billion came out of U.S. stock mutual funds in 2010, according to estimates from the Investment Company Institute, a fund-industry trade group. For many people, the pain from the market meltdown in 2008 is still too fresh, and stocks too risky.

The coming year will have its own challenges, of course, and newfound optimism about stocks, ironically, could be one of the most formidable of them.

But fund investors will have to live in the momentum. 2011 marks Year 3 of the four-year U.S. presidential cycle, and a president’s third year typically has been a winner for stocks. It’s also the third year of the bull market that began in March 2009, and every bull market since 1949 has seen a third year, according to S&P.

“You’re going to have a good old-fashioned bull market in the U.S.,” said Jerry Jordan, manager of Jordan Opportunity Fund, which rose 15% in 2010.

The mutual fund standouts in the coming year could be a repeat of what worked in 2010. In general, growth stocks beat value, cyclical sectors beat defensive ones, and small-caps topped large-stock rivals, regardless of style. The best individual S&P 500 sector in 2010 was industrials funds, up 30%, followed by consumer discretionary’s 27.8% gain. Technology funds rewarded shareholders with a 20.5% return.

Many investors were spellbound by the sharp advances in silver, gold and other metals. Precious-metals mutual funds topped every other traditional fund category with a 40% gain for the year and an 11% quarterly return.

The year’s best single fund performance among non-leveraged diversified stock funds came from tiny Dynamic U.S. Growth Fund (DWUGX, Trade), a large-cap offering that soared 52%. Sibling Dynamic Gold & Precious Metals Fund (DWGOX, Trade) turned in the best results of all – – a 71% increase.

The No. 1 style category was small growth, up almost 28% in 2010 and nearly 14% in the fourth quarter, according to Morningstar. Small value and small blend funds weren’t far behind with returns of just over 26%. The best small-cap growth fund for retail investors was the class-A shares of UBS US Small Cap Growth (BNSCX, Trade), up 39%.

Among large-cap stocks, growth funds gained about 16% for the year and 12% in the quarter, while value and blend each rose 14% and 10% for the year and quarter, respectively.

The largest U.S. stock funds posted more muted yearly gains. Vanguard 500 Index Fund (VFINX, Trade) added 15%, Fidelity Contrafund(FCNTX, Trade) rose 17% while American Funds Growth Fund of America (AGTHX, Trade) gained 12%.

The list of top exchange-traded funds, meanwhile, was a Who’s Who of metals- and commodities-sector luminaries, including iShares Silver Trust (SLV, Trade ), up 80%, Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ, Trade ), rising 64%, ProShares Ultra Basic Materials (UYM, Trade ), gaining 57%. The biggest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD, Trade ), added about 28%.

Many market observers expect large-caps to outperform small-caps in 2011, though it could be midyear before that baton is passed.

“We’re going to see [investors] bid for small cap early in the year, and large cap deeper in the year,” Jordan predicted.

Indeed, if investors head back into stock funds, as sales figures from late December suggest they are, then the large-cap stocks that individuals typically buy could return to favor, added Rich Howard, lead manager of Prospector Capital Appreciation Fund (PCAFX, Trade), which gained more than 17% in 2010.

“Blue-chips have some significant catching up to do,” he said.

Many managers are pinning hopes on big multinational companies with a global footprint.

“There are a lot of places in the world that are humming,” said David Winters, manager of Wintergreen Fund (WGRNX, Trade), which gained 21% in 2010. He noted that almost half of the S&P 500’s earnings come from outside of the U.S.

Global growth will be key to a third consecutive positive year for large-cap and other U.S. stock funds. Investors increasingly will reward companies showing concrete sales and pricing power rather than just savvy cash-management skills.

For the past couple of years, investors have seen a disconnect between stock prices and government economic data. What has boosted corporate earnings and made a company a good investment since the meltdown – – cutbacks, layoffs, cost controls – – wasn’t so helpful to the economy overall.

And though concerns about the U.S. recovery’s stamina have abated, they’ve hardly disappeared. The recession is over, but for many Americans it’s still going on.

Said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at S&P Equity Research: “What had been front-burner is now back-burner, but it’s still on the stove.”

Source: https://us.etrade.com/e/t/invest/Story?ID=STORYID%3Detrade_2010_12_31_eng-etrade_cbs2_market_watch_eng-etrade_cbs2_market_watch_66570188-13A5-11E0-9A9E-00212804637C&provider=MarketWatch.com