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“Zimbabwe Today” by Robb WJ Ellis (15-09-2010)

WARNING: This is Version 1 of my old archive, so Photos will NOT work and many links will NOT work. But you can find articles by searching on the Titles. There is a lot of information in this archive. Use the SEARCH BAR at the top right. Prior to December 2012; I was a pro-Christian type of Conservative. I was unaware of the mass of Jewish lies in history, especially the lies regarding WW2 and Hitler. So in here you will find pro-Jewish and pro-Israel material. I was definitely WRONG about the Boeremag and Janusz Walus. They were for real.

Original Post Date: 2010-09-15 Time: 08:00:01  Posted By: The BeardedMan

Howzit

Foreign currency mid-rates updated…

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This is hardly a surprise. As expected, Mugabe has ignored the 30 deadline set by SADC and now the ball lies in their court. And there is not a lot they can do, because as soon as they try enact any punitive action on Mugabe, he will just withdraw the country from the SADC body.

Which, incidentally, would also solve another one of his problems.

The SADC tribunal have ruled against Mugabe on the takeovers of farms in Zimbabwe using violence, and whilst he has ignored the rulings, they have hung over his head without resolution for a few years now. Withdrawing Zimbabwe from the SADC body would render those rulings useless.

Tuesday was the end of the 30 day deadline imposed by regional leaders on Zimbabwe's unity government, to finally implement the Global Political Agreement (GPA), but still nothing has changed.

The 30 day deadline was set at the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Summit in Namibia where the regional bloc's defence body, the Troika, endorsed a report by the facilitator in the Zimbabwe crisis, South African President Jacob Zuma. Zuma's report suggested that the coalition government be given another month to implement 24 outstanding issues in the GPA. In his report to the Troika Zuma said if the agreement on the 24 items was implemented on schedule, it would lay the basis “for the conviction to grow that Zimbabwe can reach her goal of holding free and fair elections”.

“The parties, assisted by the Troika, should discuss the outstanding matters… and resolve them within one month as part of a confidence-building measure, based on appropriate consultation in keeping with Zimbabwe's law and any other relevant instrument,” said Zuma in his report presented 30 days ago.

The coalition leaders apparently also agreed that the remaining three outstanding GPA issues, including the appointment of Roy Bennett to his position as Deputy Minister of Agriculture, would be ‘resolved’ in the month stipulated by SADC.“

Instead of resolving the problems in Zimbabwe, SADC have probably upped the ante. In the event that Mugabe withdraws Zimbabwe from the body, then Africa will have a loose cannon not only in their midst, but the chances of there ever being an acceptable resolution are reduced markedly.

But 30 days on there are no signs that the SADC deadline has been taken seriously and divisions in the ‘unity’ government have continued to widen. Robert Mugabe, who appeared to calmly agree to the 30 day deadline, just days later said he would not make any more “concessions” to the MDC, until targeted sanctions still in place against him and his inner circle are lifted. ZANU PF’s Patrick Chinamasa then insisted that the agreed-upon appointment of governors would not happen, until the targeted sanctions were lifted.

The MDC has vehemently denied that the sanction tie in was agreed to at the SADC Summit, saying in a statement that it was a “misleading and mischievous” report by the state media. The party also accused ZANU PF of using “primitive tactics” to delay the implementation of the GPA and further complicate issues in the divided coalition government.

The MDC also insisted that the targeted sanctions issue was between ZANU PF and the countries that have enforced the measures, saying that “the authorship of restrictive measures is located on the doorstep of ZANU PF”.

It is clear that both the MDC and ZANU PF are now focusing on elections to put an end to the coalition, with both party leaders, Mugabe and Morgan Tsvangirai agreeing to hold the polls next year. The Prime Minister said over the weekend that he and Mugabe had agreed not to contest the results of the vote, so that one party can be in government. Analysts and observers have since said this is a fools' arrangement that puts the MDC in a difficult position of not legally being able to challenge the results if they are rigged by ZANU PF.

SADC have, either knowingly or mistakenly, assisted Mugabe in his hellbent desire for power and legitimacy, even if it is apparent to those who observe, that nothing can be further from the truth…

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Mugabe spend a lot of time talking about wanting closer ties with the West, that the West must lift the restrictive measures against Zimbabwe – although, in truth, the only sanctions in place are targeted travel sanctions against Mugabe and his loyalist minions – but one thing that he will never accede to is elections in Zimbabwe being observed by Westerners.

The last time that Westerners watched an election in Zimbabwe, it wasn’t even Zimbabwe yet. Back in very early 1980, and even then Mugabe had cooked the books.

The British coalition government Conservative MP Mark Spencer has revealed that the United Kingdom, and all Western democratic forces could help ensure Zimbabwe hold free and fair elections.

Conservative Foreign Office Minister Henry Bellingham explained that the UK was working with all democratic forces, the SADAC, the UN and the EU to ensure monitors are stationed in Zimbabwe well ahead of the elections.

Two years after agreeing to form a unity government, Zimbabwe’s squabbling political leaders are hinting at new elections for next year, despite doubts the country is ready for polls.

Many Zimbabweans cringe at the idea of elections, with painful memories of the 2008 presidential race scarred by deadly political violence when it appeared then-opposition chief Morgan Tsvangirai could unseat President Robert Mugabe, leader since the country’s independence nearly three decades earlier.“

Mugabe does not like prying eyes, nor the presence of observers that do not conform to the ZANU PF idea of ‘free and fair’ elections. Mugabe would have us believe that violence and intimidation are the norm in any given election.

Mugabe will resist the idea that any Westerner is an observer in any new election.

He will call for the lifting of the targeted sanctions, and blame the MDC for the existence of the restrictive measures, but, in real terms, they suit Mugabe quite well right now as he is able to do what he likes, have his party members carry out whatever he needs to be done without international clamour or criticism (not that Mugabe cares about any criticism he is the subject of, as he just deflects it as ‘Western politics’), and he remains in power which is the ultimate objective.

The rivals were eventually pressured into a unity government with Tsvangirai as prime minister, but the agreement signed September 15 2008, was meant as an interim arrangement to pave the way to new polls.

Tsvangirai told party supporters last weekend that he and Mugabe had agreed elections would come next year, an idea both men have floated in recent months.“

A very dangerous ‘agreement’ and one which could prove to be the undoing of the MDC.

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A survey commissioned by NewsDay on the voting intentions of Zimbabweans has revealed MDC-T will win the next general election while ZANU PF will come second and the revived ZAPU a distant third, but 40% of the electorate might not vote.

The survey was conducted by the Public Mass Opinion Institute in August using a nationally representative sample of 1062 people. The results came out last week.

Respondents were asked to indicate their voting intentions by stating the party candidate they would vote for if an election was held on the day of the interview.

However, it is important to note that there was “a large block of voters who refused to reveal their voting intentions, preferring instead not to answer the question (17%), or claiming that their vote was their secret (24%).

“So, up to four in every 10 voters were unwilling to share their voting preferences, a very high statistic by any polling standard,” says the survey.“

I have always been against this sort of survey, as the questions refer to the situation on the ground at the time of the survey. They do not consider the situation in the future, nor do they consider that the situation can be manipulated as a direct result of the survey.

ZANU PF will see this survey as a ‘to do’ list, and I don’t blame the 40% of people surveyed from being secretive in their voting intentions. Even at this early stage, indicating your alliance with a political party in Zimbabwe can be a very dangerous trend.

Then couple this together that the voters’ roll is an absolute mess. Mugabe will be elected with a voter mandate made up of fictitious persons, deceased persons and centurions. The Zimbabwe Electoral Commission has already said that it needs a lot more time to get the roll in order, so an election next year is going to be a problem before it even begins.

In other words, a heavy and dark cloud of fear seems to have enveloped the electorate during the survey period. The survey says the high refusal rate – for whatever reason – is a cause for grave concern while at the same time seriously distorting partisan support.

The results of the survey show that 32% would vote for Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai's MDC-T while ZANU PF led by President Robert Mugabe – who has been at the helm of government for the past three decades – would come second with 18% and the revived ZAPU led by former ZANU PF politburo member Dumiso Dabengwa – which is bubbling with confidence after its recent “successful congress” – would only manage 2%.

Mavambo/Kusile/Dawn led by Simba Makoni – also a former ZANU PF politburo member who lost dismally in the March 2008 presidential elections – would get less than 1% alongside MDC-M led by Deputy Prime Minister Arthur Mutambara.

The combined vote for “other parties” would attract a total of 6% support.“

The magical figure when it comes to the presidency is 50% plus one vote. So, even considering the survey as correct and reflective of public opinion, a vote at this time would still require a coalition – something which does not necessarily agree with Zimbabwean politics.

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When Robert Mugabe said years ago that he wanted to be President for life, he wasn’t joking… And I am not convinced that all of those that then agreed with him then, agree with him now. He is closer to his 90th birthday than his 80th and recent public appearances by Mugabe have revealed that he is no longer as fit and healthy as he would have us believe.

Most people of his age have been enjoying retirement for many years, but Mugabe is more interested in hanging on to power for all that he is worth in an attempt to not only continue with his luxurious lifestyle, but also to avoid paying the price for the numerous human rights abuses that he has perpetrated against the Zimbabwean people in the last 30 years.

Robert Mugabe's health is on a downward trajectory and the battle to succeed him is intensifying, a senior Western diplomat said this morning.

The 86-year-old president of Zimbabwe is still in charge and able to fulfil a busy schedule but “there is no doubt that his downward trajectory has quickened and that's caused the usual jostling for succession to speed up”, the diplomat said.

The Western diplomat said they have obtained Robert Mugabe's medical information to support media rumour that Zimbabwean strongman's health is on the edge.

He also said Mugabe has collapsed on many occasions at his home and a foreign medical doctor is now living at his home, monitoring him on a 24 hour basis.

The diplomat dismissed Mugabe's claim that he is fit enough to continue his grip on power. He said Mugabe is an actor who can audition a healthy and fit man ready to rule, but his body has been patched up as many times in his private life.“

Mugabe is not even a full Zimbabwean. He has just as much right to stand for election as the President of Zimbabwe as I do, and I was born in the United Kingdom. He has also rewritten the constitution to allow him to remain in office long after the normal two terms have expired.

The man is a dictator, a depot and a desperate man who daily has to keep on his toes (mentally, not physically) to stay ahead of the masses that pursue him, braying for his head.

To remain in power, he has surrounded himself with people of like ilk – people who would end up in jail if the tables were turned, people who have no need to think twice before turning on the population to protect their own skin. Mugabe and his loyalists no longer play the power game, but the survival game.

It has also been confirmed that medical electronic gadgets to be installed at him home have been ordered from an Asian country to help support Mugabe's failing health.

The leading contenders are Emmerson Mnangagwa, the Defence Minister, and Solomon Mujuru, a former army chief whose wife is vice-president. Both are hardline members of Mugabe's ZANU PF and have strong ties to Zimbabwe's security apparatus.

Mugabe intends to stand in the presidential election that is likely to be held next year.

In an interview with Reuters at his official Zimbabwe House offices, Mugabe, 86, said he was surprised by speculation over his health, saying this had become a perennial issue and he hardly paid any serious attention to it.

Perhaps he needs to pay some attention to the growing number of questions about his health, because dodge the questions or not, his health is certainly failing, by the day, by the hour, by the minute…

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Bulawayo-based artist Owen Maseko, who was arrested for his exhibition about the Gukurahundi atrocities under the Mugabe regime, believes that the local artistic community has deserted him. He says it is possible they fear persecution after he faces new charges that come with a harsher prison sentence.

In March Maseko was placed on remand, on charges of ‘undermining the authority of or insulting the President and causing offence to persons of a particular race or religion’, which has a maximum prison sentence of 12 months.

But the State now wants him to face a different charge, that of breaching Section 31 of the Criminal Law (Codification and Reform) Act by allegedly publishing or communicating falsehoods prejudicial to the State. This comes with a maximum prison sentence of 20 years.“

Does this mean that ZANU PF now maintain that the Gukurahundi never took place? How can an artist’s depiction of historic events ‘communicate falsehoods’?

Even Mugabe has admitted that the Gukurahundi took place, and fails to apologise for it, excusing it as a ‘moment of madness’. A ‘moment’ that last seven years and cost between twenty and thirty thousand lives.

So the police would have Maseko face charges that make a mockery of what their illustrious leader has already admitted.

Artists are aware of how, whatever the outcome that can happen to me, can greatly affect them, but taking a stance of running away is not really a helpful one because whichever way they look at it they will still be greatly affected.”

On Monday Maseko’s lawyers challenged the State’s new charge. They said that because Maseko’s first charge has not been dealt with, it was not lawful to bring in another charge at this stage. The lawyers also pointed out that there is no procedure which allows the State to substitute a less serious charge for a more serious charge.

As a result, Magistrate Ntombizodwa Mazhandu ruled that the State can only bring new charges against Maseko if the first charges have been withdrawn. So the State has now withdrawn the earlier charges and Maseko will face the fresh charges in court on Wednesday.

But Maseko said he is not afraid to face the new charges. “I am not worried. My lawyers have been good and have not disappointed me so far. I am really looking forward, but given a choice I did not want to be in court. With Zimbabwean law you never know what might probably happen in a court room.“

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Take care.

‘debvhu

Source: http://thebeardedman.blogspot.com/2010/09/wednesday-15th-september-2010.html