WARNING: This is Version 1 of my old archive, so Photos will NOT work and many links will NOT work. But you can find articles by searching on the Titles. There is a lot of information in this archive. Use the SEARCH BAR at the top right. Prior to December 2012; I was a pro-Christian type of Conservative. I was unaware of the mass of Jewish lies in history, especially the lies regarding WW2 and Hitler. So in here you will find pro-Jewish and pro-Israel material. I was definitely WRONG about the Boeremag and Janusz Walus. They were for real.
Original Post Date: 2008-01-10 Time: 00:00:00 Posted By: Jan
It is going to take a time, perhaps a year, before we have some usable statistics from The Prediction Experiment. But once we have them, we will begin using them to teach us something about ourselves and our perception.
When I experimented with The Predictions for myself, over about 2 years, I did a similar exercise to this. The one thing the statistics will tell you, once you have some of them, is whether your are over-optimistic or over-pessimistic in your analysis.
We will then be able to use it as a guide for ourselves to “pace” ourselves.
What we will need are for some predictions to expire and to analyse whether they worked or did not work. As time goes by and we have more predictions, the data then starts coming into its own.
The longer the experiment runs, the more useful it will become and the more value will come out of it. But it takes quite some time. But we’ll keep building on it.
I’m quite shocked that nobody has dared to try to predict anything!!
The value of this is not whether you are right or wrong. The value lies in the measurements. Being wrong is part of the game, and the learning process.