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9/11 – 5th Anniversary: My Grand Strategic Assessment

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Original Post Date: 2006-09-09  Posted By: Jan

From the News Archives of: WWW.AfricanCrisis.Org
Date & Time Posted: 9/9/2006
9/11 – 5th Anniversary: My Grand Strategic Assessment
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9/11 – 5th Anniversary: My Grand Strategic Assessment

From the News Archives of: WWW.AfricanCrisis.Org


Date & Time Posted: 9/9/2006

9/11 – 5th Anniversary: My Grand Strategic Assessment

I thought I’d write a little bit about 9/11 and its consequences so far.

It appears to me that many people have already forgotten the significance of it. But I’m not going to focus on that. I’m going to focus instead on the military and political consequences of it.

The mere fact that no great terrorist acts have occurred on US soil since then, tells me that the enemy caught American Intelligence by surprise. But this has been remedied. From various sources, it appears to me, that the CIA went on a secret worldwide offensive based on the principle that attack is the best form of defense. The idea being to nail the terrorists before they get to the USA. All in all, the CIA has not done badly at all. It appears to me as if Americans and their European allies have done a pretty reasonable job of keeping terrorism out of America and Europe – for now. Terrorism could still pop up in Europe because the Muslims went on a big recruiting drive there, especially in Germany and they got lots of white Muslim followers.

But on the whole, the CIA must be commended on a job pretty well done.

I have however wondered if smaller real incidents of terrorism have occurred on US soil, which were covered up, to deny the terrorists the publicity they seek. Back in Malaya, the British did their utmost to deny terrorists publicity. The entire war there was fought in secret.

Some incidents which caught my attention were the fires at the huge BP storage depot in the USA and a similar fire in the UK. I had wondered if those, or perhaps much smaller incidents could be terrorist related – but the Govt/CIA had perhaps covered it up??

There is also the mysterious case of a jet from Cryprus which crashed, and all the people on board were dead before the plane crashed into a mountain. A military fighter jet had flown alongside and had seen the dead bodies.

I suspect that there must be quite a few instances of terrorism since 9/11 which must have occurred in the Western world which were covered up in order to deny the terrorists the publicity they sought.

I can only speculate.

Many of the 9/11 terrorists came from Saudi Arabia! The US Govt ignored and downplayed that because in theory the Saudis are American allies. But the Saudis, because they “own” Islam and Mecca, are on their own mission to gain power in this world. They might be playing the USA on the one hand while helping Al Qaeda on the other. The CIA’s policy of “moderating” terrorists is no doubt the real reason why the USA has not been jumping on Saudi Arabia’s case. The US Govt seeks to create “moderate Arab states” who are pro-USA and pro-Western. I have my doubts about how successful they will be. But that is the basic thrust of what the US Govt and the CIA are up to in the Middle East. (See also: www.StraightTalk.co.za for an analysis of CIA activity).

I did speculate since 9/11 that it could eventually lead to a World War. A Low Intensity World War is already in progress, and it appears to me to be hotting up inch by inch.

The invasion of Iraq struck me as a possible military strategic trap. I have never been convinced that Iraq can be conquered by the USA using its current military strategy. I think that inch by inch, the war in Iraq is being lost, and the new Govt there could itself be a problem one day. I really think the concept of “spreading democracy” to the Middle East is a complete waste of time. The USA should never have wasted its time and money doing it.

If one looks at this Low Intensity World War more closely, you’ll see an interesting pattern. You’ll see that the USA and the West managed to largely contain terrorism inside the First World. But in the Middle East, their grip is slowly slipping. (I have written many times about Vietnam II).

The Middle Eastern terrorists now have bases in both South America and Africa. And it appears that because the terrorists have not been able to successfully penetrate the USA and Europe on a large scale, that instead, the conflict will now spread to other Third World areas (like Africa and South America), where the grip of the Western world is not so strong. (Also don’t forget Pakistan, which is another Muslim nuclear power).

Iran, like Iraq is a strategic trap – but a much tougher one. Iran seems to be the real place where the Muslims can make a stand and can fight hard. Iran is an extremely serious problem. Defeating it will require a lot more effort than Iraq took. Iran is fuelling most of the terrorism in the Middle East.

The Low Intensity World War is definitely costing the USA a lot of money. The major benefit of this war to the Muslim Radicals, is that it is straining the USA’s resources tremendously to the point of bankruptcy. I believe the USA will not be able to fight like this continuously. The USA will have to find more efficient methods, like sponsoring local allies, etc.

By spreading into Africa and South America, the terrorists will continue to increase the strain on US and Western resources. So while we are not yet in a “hot” World War, I think we are slowly getting there.

Also keep watching that communist trouble-maker Chavez, in Venezuela.

One American general spoke about the need to contain terrorism or else there will be bigger wars. But I think, bit by bit, the terrorists are spreading their tentacles.

I have warned that Americans may be worn out psychologically long before the war explodes into a really HOT one.

It bothers me to see how the USA struggles to contain a single Third World city like Baghdad… when the terrorists are slowly spreading around the world.

Here in S.Africa, it appears Muslim terrorists from Pakistan were driven out by the CIA which is working secretly in Johannesburg.

There is a *LOT* of activity in this Low Intensity World War, but, the majority of the American and European public have not been informed by their leaders of what is actually happening. But if one studies it closely, one can see that there is a lot going on… but most of it is hush hush…

I would say, at this stage, I think the direct threat to people in the First World is minimal. But their position is slowly being undermined. I still think this terrorism can, in time, give way to much more serious conflicts.

I would say this: If the USA and West can somehow, destroy Iran, then they might be able to claim some sort of victory.

When I look at the way the war is developing, and I compare it to the terrorism we had in Africa, I would say that the Muslims are quietly infiltrating and creating a bigger infrastructure everywhere. It is a slow process. It takes about 5 years for them to create a working terrorist infrastructure in a country, before you start seeing the military results. So it will take time for the terrorism to spread, but it will pop up in all sorts of unexpected places.

The West is far from finished. I think that fiercer, larger wars will yet be able to contain the terrorists. It won’t be as easy, or as much fun, or as peaceful as the American invasion of Iraq. The future wars will be rougher, tougher, deadlier, bloodier affairs.

This war could continue for anything from 5 to 30 years.

I watched in interest as the war strategy seems to also have economic dimensions. The terrorists were hoping to break the West’s economy with high oil prices, but now oil prices are coming down. America also has vast reserves of oil in Alaska which could be used.

It will be interesting to see where this war goes and how hot it gets.

I think the war will backfire on the Muslims in the long run.

In the end, I think the Western world will win it. It might require nuclear weapons one day… But in the long term, the Muslims will come off second best. The Christians, who number more than twice the number of Muslims, have not yet really been angered. If this becomes a truly religious war, then the Muslims had better be careful.

The consequences of 9/11 are far from over. It will shape the rest of our lives – no matter where on planet Earth you may live. Jan]


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