[Ever since 9/11, I have put forward the theory that the 9/11 attack was intended to galvanise the USA into a series of wars in the Middle East (and maybe even around the world), which could escalate into a World War.

I discussed the possibility that this is really a Strategic Trap which is aimed at creating a second Vietnam.

Now if my Strategic Trap theory is to hold water, then it requires that the USA will find itself gradually embroiled in more and more war on more and more fronts.

I said that the USA is too strong to be attacked directly, conventionally, but that the enemy was attacking the “mighty” United States using a well-tried strategy of low-intensity warfare which would cost the USA enormous amounts of money as well as wearing down the populace in the USA. This is probably the most important aspect – the wearing down of the will to resist and the sowing of divisions and political discord. In short, this would be a repeat of Vietnam.

I have said for a long time, that according to my sources in the Middle East, the war in Iraq is not going well. And as you will have seen the fighting in Iraq is getting worse. The country has been balanced on the knife-edge of a Civil War.

The American strategy in the Middle East is not working well at all. Yet, this strategy is identical to the strategies the USA applied here in Africa. In my newsletter, which has just been launched (Straight Talk from Africa “ see the website: WWW.StraightTalk.co.za) we discuss at length the USA/CIA strategy used here in Africa for the last 50 years.

The core concept in this strategy, which came from academics who worked for the CIA, was that of œmoderation. œModeration is about trying to influence terrorists and political parties run by terrorists or former terrorists into behaving as if they were civilised people.

US Foreign Policy, as implemented in part by the CIA, is not so much about fighting as it is about trying to buy/bribe/manipulate groups at a political level. Here in Africa I have questions as to how effective this policy is. Our newsletter will delve into this deeply in this and future issues.

But let us return to the Middle East. The same concepts are being used there too. For example, the USA is currently giving money to Hamas who were terrorists whom previously, the USA would not recognise as all.

Whereas the Communists and their Terrorists liked to œtalk and fight at the same time, the USA likes to œbribe and fight at the same time. But its hard to talk to somebody whom you really should be killing. So in the end, you do a half job of both. You talk a bit, you fight a bit, and you never get down to just slaughtering them and bringing them unconditionally to their knees. The will to win outright, just does not seem to exist in the American Political/Military/Intelligence structure.

If the Strategic Trap idea which I have espoused, is true, then don™t think the war will end, or slow down once the USA and Britain withdraw from Iraq. In fact, the opposite may happen. This is all dependant upon the bribes the US will be paying to Arabs and Muslim Terrorists to try to behave themselves.

The logic behind the Strategic Trap would be that if the USA tries to withdraw from a war which is draining its national morale (President Bush is at his lowest approval rating ever) as well as its coffers, then the enemy will have to do something bold to elicit a new response and to draw the USA once more across the ocean to fight or attack someone again.

The USA does not want to admit that it has lost the war in Iraq, but the American Govt seems quite determined to pull out as many troops as soon as it can. This can only send a signal to the Terrorists that they have won.

They do want to destroy the USA. And for that to work, they need to suck the USA into more conflict before it has time to recover. They need to keep the pressure on the US Govt and the US Public because wearing people down psychologically would be the key to the terrorist/Muslim victory.

In my view, therefore, a retreat from Iraq, could be a signal that the enemy must begin planning their next big terror mega-strike “ most likely on US soil.

Don™t think the war on terrorism is over. Far from it. We have not even reached the half-way mark yet. The USA has only stirred the Muslims into action. Victory is but a speck far in the distance. Jan]